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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

data as of 2026-02-02 16:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$21K−$69K$90K
Holders483+109374
Trades6.0K+7575.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate34.9%
−29.0 pp
63.9%
Avg ROI4.6%
+0.6 pp
4.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×28.11
+27.34×
×0.77
Top-20 avg cost vs price×26.45
+25.65×
×0.80
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$395
−$16.8K
$17.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.83
+0.06
0.77
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.8%
−122.4 pp
26.7%
Underwater %93.1%
+92.3 pp
0.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.6%
−4.9 pp
78.5%
Bot %72.5%
−4.9 pp
77.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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