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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

data as of 2026-04-13 07:45 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K−$39K$51K
Holders461−54515
Trades4.5K−764.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.2%
−18.1 pp
67.3%
Avg ROI3.0%
+0.7 pp
2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×23.50
+22.79×
×0.72
Top-20 avg cost vs price×20.94
+20.15×
×0.78
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.5K
−$17.9K
$27.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.03
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.0%
−133.0 pp
36.9%
Underwater %96.5%
+77.7 pp
18.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %55.8%
−12.8 pp
68.6%
Bot %41.5%
−31.2 pp
72.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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