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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

data as of 2026-01-14 18:13 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$48K−$8.2K$57K
Holders463+124339
Trades7.2K−1.0K8.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.4%
−14.4 pp
62.8%
Avg ROI1.5%
+1.0 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×51.00
+50.53×
×0.47
Top-20 avg cost vs price×51.98
+51.47×
×0.51
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$19.9K
−$1.6K
$21.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
+0.11
0.79
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.0%
−195.6 pp
97.6%
Underwater %99.5%
+99.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %77.8%
−4.7 pp
82.5%
Bot %77.5%
−4.5 pp
81.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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