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Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on April 14?

data as of 2026-04-12 06:00 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$58−$8.0K$8.1K
Holders39−1554
Trades293+131162
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate15.9%
−55.2 pp
71.2%
Avg ROI4.5%
+5.7 pp
-1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.00
+1.01×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.31
+2.38×
×0.93
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$86
$86
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.2%
−99.5 pp
7.3%
Underwater %98.0%
+98.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %35.8%
−4.1 pp
39.9%
Bot %35.8%
−4.1 pp
39.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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