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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

data as of 2026-04-15 11:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.0K−$8.5K$12K
Holders150+34116
Trades1.5K+3021.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.1%
−17.1 pp
57.3%
Avg ROI-5.9%
−7.2 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×22.00
+21.25×
×0.75
Top-20 avg cost vs price×22.13
+21.37×
×0.76
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.1K
−$2.4K
$3.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.99
+0.16
0.83
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.5%
−127.6 pp
32.1%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %75.8%
−15.2 pp
91.0%
Bot %76.2%
−16.2 pp
92.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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