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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

data as of 2026-07-13 19:52 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$15K+$10K$4.2K
Holders226−70296
Trades1.1K−2761.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.8%
+2.9 pp
44.9%
Avg ROI13.0%
+1.4 pp
11.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.78
−4.15×
×4.93
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.77
−4.62×
×5.39
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.3K
+$9.3K
$4.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.01
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL31.1%
+112.3 pp
-81.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %41.0%
+11.0 pp
29.9%
Bot %55.0%
+12.9 pp
42.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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