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Will Zohran Mamdani get between 60% and 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?

data as of 2025-11-05 02:08 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$9.8K−$98K$108K
Holders153+42111
Trades1.6K−2121.8K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.6%
−10.9 pp
61.5%
Avg ROI3.2%
−0.9 pp
4.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.70
−0.34×
×1.03
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.65
−0.38×
×1.04
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$415
−$5.6K
$6.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.10
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL45.4%
+48.7 pp
-3.3%
Underwater %12.1%
−80.6 pp
92.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %3.6%
−53.1 pp
56.7%
Bot %3.5%
−53.6 pp
57.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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