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Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit 5350 (LOW) in March?

data as of 2026-03-17 20:41 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$102−$1.0K$1.1K
Holders26+206
Trades171+15021
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate30.5%
+30.5 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI25.7%
+25.7 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.84
+0.84×
×0.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.89
+0.89×
×0.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
+$1
−$1
Recent buyer dominance0.00
+0.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL8.3%
+8.3 pp
0.0%
Underwater %24.8%
+24.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %75.2%
+75.2 pp
0.0%
Bot %75.2%
+75.2 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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