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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

data as of 2026-03-06 12:45 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$37K−$55K$93K
Holders471+131340
Trades5.5K+265.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.0%
−38.6 pp
77.6%
Avg ROI7.3%
+4.0 pp
3.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×53.83
+53.07×
×0.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×56.25
+55.47×
×0.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$35.8K
−$41.9K
$77.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
−0.01
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.8%
−138.1 pp
40.3%
Underwater %96.3%
+83.6 pp
12.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %68.0%
−4.0 pp
72.0%
Bot %68.3%
−16.6 pp
84.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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