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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 3PM ET

data as of 2025-11-26 20:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.1K−$26K$34K
Holders74−276
Trades1.9K−3732.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate27.4%
−26.0 pp
53.4%
Avg ROI10.2%
+8.0 pp
2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×21.00
+20.28×
×0.72
Top-20 avg cost vs price×25.97
+25.28×
×0.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.5K
−$130
$1.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.28
0.63
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.3%
−142.2 pp
45.9%
Underwater %96.6%
+95.5 pp
1.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %68.1%
−9.8 pp
77.9%
Bot %68.1%
−9.8 pp
77.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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