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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 6PM ET

data as of 2025-12-28 23:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$32K+$1.6K$31K
Holders76−43119
Trades2.3K−932.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.9%
+15.3 pp
42.6%
Avg ROI3.7%
+6.6 pp
-3.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.48
−58.09×
×58.57
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.43
−53.17×
×53.60
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.1K
−$921
$5.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.86
−0.10
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL130.8%
+228.9 pp
-98.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−94.2 pp
94.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %88.4%
+17.1 pp
71.3%
Bot %81.9%
+12.9 pp
69.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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