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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

data as of 2026-07-04 17:24 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$17K+$4.6K$13K
Holders377+32345
Trades3.2K+863.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.7%
+0.9 pp
48.7%
Avg ROI0.8%
−1.6 pp
2.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.58
−20.04×
×20.62
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.58
−19.87×
×20.44
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.6K
+$4.0K
$11.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.00
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL72.5%
+167.6 pp
-95.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.4 pp
99.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %34.4%
+1.3 pp
33.1%
Bot %46.2%
+6.2 pp
40.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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