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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 12AM ET

data as of 2025-11-25 05:55 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$35K+$14K$20K
Holders65+1154
Trades1.3K−111.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.2%
−5.9 pp
54.0%
Avg ROI87.9%
+87.6 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×50.00
+49.21×
×0.79
Top-20 avg cost vs price×45.92
+45.15×
×0.77
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$23
+$1.3K
−$1.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.62
+0.35
0.26
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.8%
−124.9 pp
27.1%
Underwater %99.0%
+99.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %9.4%
−60.0 pp
69.5%
Bot %8.4%
−59.6 pp
68.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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