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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

data as of 2025-12-04 17:41 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$14K−$5.3K$19K
Holders163+48115
Trades2.2K02.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.7%
−14.0 pp
57.7%
Avg ROI2.7%
+0.3 pp
2.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×38.64
+38.04×
×0.60
Top-20 avg cost vs price×42.13
+41.50×
×0.63
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.2K
−$2.4K
$5.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.78
−0.02
0.79
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.5%
−155.0 pp
57.5%
Underwater %99.6%
+99.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %69.1%
−17.9 pp
87.0%
Bot %69.1%
−19.3 pp
88.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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