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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

data as of 2026-01-01 06:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$19K−$12K$30K
Holders229−7236
Trades4.2K+6433.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate34.1%
−25.0 pp
59.1%
Avg ROI-10.4%
−7.8 pp
-2.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×40.50
+39.88×
×0.62
Top-20 avg cost vs price×36.59
+35.97×
×0.62
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.8K
−$7.4K
$11.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.84
+0.05
0.79
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.1%
−153.5 pp
56.4%
Underwater %93.7%
+91.7 pp
2.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %67.6%
−1.3 pp
68.9%
Bot %67.6%
−2.2 pp
69.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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