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Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on February 4?

data as of 2026-02-04 20:37 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$18K+$17K$1.2K
Holders20−1030
Trades83−59142
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.3%
+2.4 pp
52.0%
Avg ROI-7.0%
−47.9 pp
40.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.89
−71.99×
×72.88
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.89
−75.11×
×76.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$12
$12
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL12.1%
+110.8 pp
-98.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−90.6 pp
90.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.2%
−22.0 pp
22.2%
Bot %0.2%
−22.0 pp
22.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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