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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

data as of 2026-07-26 03:13 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.9K−$1.7K$4.6K
Holders73−2093
Trades667+9658
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.4%
−1.6 pp
54.0%
Avg ROI5.0%
+1.3 pp
3.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.34
−16.40×
×16.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.41
−17.46×
×17.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.6K
−$75
$1.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
+0.08
0.82
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL140.6%
+234.9 pp
-94.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.7 pp
99.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %43.0%
+8.3 pp
34.7%
Bot %85.3%
+8.9 pp
76.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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