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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

data as of 2026-07-07 17:49 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.1K−$15K$23K
Holders240−10250
Trades2.3K+5161.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.3%
−5.9 pp
54.2%
Avg ROI9.4%
+8.6 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.00
+6.18×
×0.82
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.33
+6.51×
×0.82
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.8K
−$15.2K
$22.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.00
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-86.8%
−109.3 pp
22.4%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %30.1%
−15.8 pp
45.9%
Bot %46.9%
−26.6 pp
73.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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