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Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?

data as of 2026-07-09 16:32 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 13, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO
100¢
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$0−$144$144
Holders2+11
Trades3+21
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.4%
−54.6 pp
100.0%
Avg ROI227.3%
+150.0 pp
77.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.30
+0.30×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$144
$144
Recent buyer dominance0.80
−0.20
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-23.2%
−23.2 pp
0.0%
Underwater %3.4%
+3.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %3.4%
+3.4 pp
0.0%
Bot %3.4%
+3.4 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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