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US x Venezuela military engagement by November 3?

data as of 2025-11-03 22:34 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$837−$24K$24K
Holders52+250
Trades445−9454
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.6%
−34.2 pp
70.7%
Avg ROI1.5%
+0.2 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.09
+4.10×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.66
+4.68×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11
−$1.1K
$1.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.24
0.69
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-82.9%
−84.4 pp
1.5%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %12.6%
+10.3 pp
2.2%
Bot %12.3%
+12.3 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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