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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

data as of 2026-03-30 02:19 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K−$20K$31K
Holders410+49361
Trades5.6K+6514.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate33.8%
−25.2 pp
59.0%
Avg ROI-0.5%
+0.6 pp
-1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×21.89
+21.22×
×0.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×18.59
+17.91×
×0.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.5K
−$12.3K
$22.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
+0.03
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.3%
−140.8 pp
45.5%
Underwater %92.0%
+91.8 pp
0.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.0%
−5.2 pp
78.2%
Bot %72.9%
−5.7 pp
78.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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