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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

data as of 2026-04-21 15:05 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$37K−$47K$84K
Holders653−144797
Trades8.8K−1018.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.0%
−3.8 pp
55.8%
Avg ROI3.5%
+1.8 pp
1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×39.20
+38.61×
×0.59
Top-20 avg cost vs price×37.88
+37.13×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$35.3K
−$33.3K
$68.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
+0.01
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.3%
−147.2 pp
49.9%
Underwater %98.5%
+95.6 pp
2.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %56.8%
−12.4 pp
69.2%
Bot %62.7%
+12.6 pp
50.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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