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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

data as of 2025-10-13 21:11 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$572−$332$904
Holders25+718
Trades163+56107
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate35.1%
−12.8 pp
47.9%
Avg ROI-9.4%
−7.2 pp
-2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.25
+0.03×
×1.22
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.40
+0.27×
×1.13
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$113
+$60
$52
Recent buyer dominance0.98
−0.02
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-28.6%
−17.0 pp
-11.5%
Underwater %100.0%
+16.4 pp
83.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %69.1%
−20.5 pp
89.5%
Bot %32.5%
−62.1 pp
94.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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