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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

data as of 2026-07-02 02:29 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$17K+$8.5K$8.2K
Holders269−20289
Trades2.1K−1132.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.6%
+0.9 pp
49.8%
Avg ROI2.0%
+1.0 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.69
−10.26×
×10.95
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.67
−10.23×
×10.91
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.7K
+$7.9K
$7.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.02
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL43.1%
+133.4 pp
-90.3%
Underwater %7.0%
−86.6 pp
93.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %37.0%
+2.2 pp
34.8%
Bot %43.4%
+1.9 pp
41.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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