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Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 17?

data as of 2026-07-16 01:17 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 17, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
11¢
NO
84¢
YES
11¢
YesY-NNo
Position$23−$228$251
Holders9−413
Trades25+223
NO
84¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate25.5%
−56.0 pp
81.4%
Avg ROI-8.0%
−12.5 pp
4.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.11×
×1.11
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.06×
×1.06
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$15
$17
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+5.9 pp
-5.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−58.9 pp
58.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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