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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

data as of 2026-03-31 21:39 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$33K+$17K$17K
Holders353−1354
Trades3.8K−2074.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.5%
+14.8 pp
38.7%
Avg ROI-3.1%
+0.4 pp
-3.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.58
−16.83×
×17.41
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.60
−17.89×
×18.48
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$23.0K
+$6.8K
$16.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.03
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL61.0%
+154.9 pp
-93.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−88.5 pp
88.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %86.6%
−0.1 pp
86.7%
Bot %86.0%
−0.5 pp
86.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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