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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 30?

data as of 2026-06-29 04:00 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jun 30, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
33¢
NO
73¢
YES
33¢
YesY-NNo
Position$237−$434$671
Holders16−622
Trades82+1468
NO
73¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate63.8%
+14.5 pp
49.3%
Avg ROI15.6%
+9.4 pp
6.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.62
−0.45×
×1.07
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.76
−0.32×
×1.07
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$253
−$695
$947
Recent buyer dominance0.71
−0.20
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL38.8%
+45.7 pp
-6.9%
Underwater %0.4%
−88.0 pp
88.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−0.4 pp
0.4%
Bot %0.0%
−8.9 pp
8.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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