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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

data as of 2026-05-11 02:15 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K−$4.4K$17K
Holders430+71359
Trades3.6K+1223.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.4%
−5.5 pp
51.9%
Avg ROI1.9%
+1.3 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×43.28
+42.75×
×0.53
Top-20 avg cost vs price×40.79
+40.24×
×0.55
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.4K
−$1.4K
$11.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.05
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.6%
−184.3 pp
86.7%
Underwater %97.2%
+97.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %54.2%
+2.3 pp
51.8%
Bot %57.6%
+1.6 pp
56.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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