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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

data as of 2026-07-05 12:34 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.9K−$5.6K$16K
Holders417+30387
Trades2.9K+4642.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.5%
−0.6 pp
49.1%
Avg ROI5.9%
+6.7 pp
-0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×15.33
+14.72×
×0.61
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.85
+12.24×
×0.62
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.4K
−$3.9K
$13.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.00
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.5%
−153.1 pp
60.5%
Underwater %99.1%
+99.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %24.9%
−4.1 pp
29.0%
Bot %35.8%
−3.8 pp
39.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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