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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8PM ET

data as of 2026-07-08 00:41 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.2K+$3.5K$1.6K
Holders55+451
Trades445+73372
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.6%
+0.5 pp
50.1%
Avg ROI-3.9%
−8.6 pp
4.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.68
−12.62×
×13.30
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.68
−12.08×
×12.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$89
−$113
$23
Recent buyer dominance0.40
−0.60
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL47.4%
+139.9 pp
-92.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−96.7 pp
96.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %37.0%
−30.1 pp
67.1%
Bot %43.4%
−27.3 pp
70.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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