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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

data as of 2026-04-30 13:35 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$41K+$27K$14K
Holders395−85480
Trades4.1K−1944.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate73.8%
+25.8 pp
48.0%
Avg ROI123.9%
−79.5 pp
203.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.77
−40.46×
×41.23
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.82
−35.11×
×35.93
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$31.7K
+$19.2K
$12.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.01
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL36.4%
+133.6 pp
-97.2%
Underwater %4.0%
−93.1 pp
97.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %50.2%
−14.7 pp
64.9%
Bot %54.0%
−12.7 pp
66.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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