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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

data as of 2026-05-20 03:27 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$24K+$18K$6.6K
Holders139−22161
Trades1.9K−211.9K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.1%
+7.3 pp
46.8%
Avg ROI0.7%
−0.2 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.75
−33.10×
×33.85
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.75
−24.94×
×25.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.7K
+$4.5K
$2.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
−0.02
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL35.0%
+131.2 pp
-96.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−87.4 pp
87.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %63.0%
−10.3 pp
73.3%
Bot %80.2%
−5.6 pp
85.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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