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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

data as of 2025-10-07 16:02 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.2K+$364$808
Holders10−1121
Trades51−3586
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate82.3%
+58.8 pp
23.5%
Avg ROI24.1%
+11.5 pp
12.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.94
−13.19×
×14.13
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.87
−10.71×
×11.57
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$1.1K
−$1.2K
$55
Recent buyer dominance0.21
−0.79
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL15.4%
+106.8 pp
-91.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−91.4 pp
91.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %77.1%
−9.5 pp
86.6%
Bot %77.1%
−5.2 pp
82.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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