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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

data as of 2026-07-22 04:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K+$405$11K
Holders392+43349
Trades2.6K+6162.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.8%
−1.2 pp
50.1%
Avg ROI2.3%
+1.1 pp
1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×15.97
+15.35×
×0.63
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.44
+15.88×
×0.56
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.4K
−$206
$10.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.02
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.7%
−166.4 pp
72.7%
Underwater %94.7%
+92.1 pp
2.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %35.5%
+5.0 pp
30.5%
Bot %57.2%
+3.1 pp
54.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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