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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

data as of 2026-07-22 09:35 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.2K−$2.9K$4.1K
Holders80+278
Trades527−51578
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.2%
+1.9 pp
51.3%
Avg ROI3.4%
+2.7 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.31
+5.54×
×0.77
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.96
+6.25×
×0.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$530
−$2.1K
$2.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.01
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-85.8%
−123.7 pp
37.9%
Underwater %99.6%
+99.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %38.3%
−5.9 pp
44.3%
Bot %52.5%
−8.0 pp
60.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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