Markets › detail

Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

data as of 2026-05-19 14:22 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Nov 3, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
1¢
NO
94¢
YES
1¢
YesY-NNo
Position$368−$2.6K$2.9K
Holders56−460
Trades518+294224
NO
94¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate39.2%
−35.2 pp
74.4%
Avg ROI6.2%
+2.6 pp
3.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.02
+4.05×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.73
+2.77×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15
−$91
$106
Recent buyer dominance0.65
+0.00
0.64
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-79.5%
−82.8 pp
3.3%
Underwater %72.0%
+61.3 pp
10.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %39.5%
−12.6 pp
52.1%
Bot %39.6%
−14.1 pp
53.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
Unlock the full panel — $19/moCancel anytime · no signup to browse