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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

data as of 2026-05-03 10:12 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.1K−$9.2K$11K
Holders136+6373
Trades854+88766
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.4%
−17.7 pp
68.0%
Avg ROI0.9%
+3.3 pp
-2.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.72
+12.81×
×0.91
Top-20 avg cost vs price×14.56
+13.68×
×0.88
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$116
−$2.4K
$2.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.00
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.8%
−109.1 pp
15.3%
Underwater %99.5%
+99.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %60.9%
−5.6 pp
66.4%
Bot %67.8%
−5.1 pp
72.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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