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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

data as of 2026-07-12 01:49 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.2K−$13K$18K
Holders375+88287
Trades2.1K+4581.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.5%
−6.5 pp
54.0%
Avg ROI2.1%
+0.9 pp
1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×19.56
+18.71×
×0.85
Top-20 avg cost vs price×17.89
+17.07×
×0.82
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.0K
−$12.2K
$16.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.02
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.4%
−116.3 pp
20.9%
Underwater %88.7%
+88.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %28.2%
−4.5 pp
32.8%
Bot %36.0%
−13.7 pp
49.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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