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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

data as of 2026-04-14 19:49 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$38K+$27K$11K
Holders411+47364
Trades3.8K−3934.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate59.5%
+16.1 pp
43.4%
Avg ROI0.7%
−0.6 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.65
−33.89×
×34.54
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.62
−26.34×
×26.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$20.1K
+$10.3K
$9.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.01
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL53.0%
+149.7 pp
-96.7%
Underwater %1.6%
−98.0 pp
99.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.5%
−4.3 pp
77.8%
Bot %71.3%
−7.9 pp
79.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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