Markets › detail

Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

data as of 2026-03-06 23:34 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Oct 10, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
5¢
NO
94¢
YES
5¢
YesY-NNo
Position$151−$26K$27K
Holders168−802970
Trades8.9K+2268.7K
NO
94¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.8%
−25.5 pp
69.3%
Avg ROI11.3%
+10.8 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.20
−0.86×
×1.06
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.26
−0.79×
×1.05
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$81
$83
Recent buyer dominance0.58
−0.32
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL302.6%
+307.3 pp
-4.7%
Underwater %0.6%
−99.4 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %16.6%
+2.5 pp
14.1%
Bot %16.6%
+2.5 pp
14.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
Unlock the full panel — $19/moCancel anytime · no signup to browse