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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

data as of 2026-05-01 19:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$11K−$10K$21K
Holders289+30259
Trades3.1K+4482.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.5%
−8.3 pp
58.8%
Avg ROI2.0%
+1.8 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.91
+6.18×
×0.72
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.05
+6.32×
×0.73
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.6K
−$10.0K
$18.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.02
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-85.2%
−124.0 pp
38.8%
Underwater %95.4%
+93.9 pp
1.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %67.8%
−18.0 pp
85.8%
Bot %69.8%
−10.9 pp
80.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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