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Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?

data as of 2025-11-21 01:45 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$4.2K−$19K$23K
Holders104−41145
Trades1.4K+418998
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.0%
−20.2 pp
64.1%
Avg ROI-1.0%
−1.7 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.30
+1.38×
×0.92
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.19
+1.27×
×0.92
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$26
−$381
$407
Recent buyer dominance0.72
−0.28
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-53.0%
−61.6 pp
8.6%
Underwater %96.2%
+88.5 pp
7.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %24.5%
−57.6 pp
82.1%
Bot %24.5%
−57.8 pp
82.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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