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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

data as of 2026-07-06 03:14 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.7K−$6.6K$15K
Holders346+45301
Trades2.3K+722.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.3%
−8.2 pp
56.5%
Avg ROI0.8%
+0.6 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×41.59
+40.93×
×0.66
Top-20 avg cost vs price×37.58
+36.93×
×0.65
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.5K
−$6.2K
$14.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.02
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.2%
−146.9 pp
49.7%
Underwater %95.6%
+91.1 pp
4.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %35.3%
+2.9 pp
32.5%
Bot %51.8%
+2.1 pp
49.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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