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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3PM ET

data as of 2026-02-16 20:58 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$59K+$48K$12K
Holders189+27162
Trades5.0K−6095.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate64.2%
+23.2 pp
41.1%
Avg ROI-0.7%
−5.3 pp
4.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.77
−216.02×
×216.79
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.71
−216.58×
×217.29
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$358
−$361
$2
Recent buyer dominance0.48
−0.03
0.51
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL40.5%
+140.0 pp
-99.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−96.8 pp
96.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %85.9%
+11.9 pp
74.0%
Bot %85.8%
+12.8 pp
73.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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