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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

data as of 2026-07-16 12:53 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$21K+$10K$11K
Holders272+3269
Trades1.7K−4492.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.7%
+1.7 pp
49.0%
Avg ROI1.9%
−0.2 pp
2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.63
−14.47×
×15.11
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.64
−13.37×
×14.01
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$17.1K
+$7.4K
$9.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.02
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL55.0%
+147.5 pp
-92.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %41.1%
+1.4 pp
39.7%
Bot %64.9%
+7.1 pp
57.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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