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Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

data as of 2026-02-28 22:07 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$-119−$294K$294K
Holders245−4.7K4.9K
Trades17K+3.0K14K
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.7%
−18.3 pp
59.0%
Avg ROI48.0%
+47.0 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.90
−0.10×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.70
−0.30×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$191
$192
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.32
0.59
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL112.4%
+112.8 pp
-0.4%
Underwater %3.5%
−95.3 pp
98.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %10.4%
−61.9 pp
72.3%
Bot %10.5%
−59.6 pp
70.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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