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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

data as of 2026-07-11 08:24 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K+$5.3K$6.4K
Holders260+31229
Trades2.0K+1251.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.1%
+0.7 pp
49.4%
Avg ROI0.8%
−0.5 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.62
−5.98×
×6.59
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.63
−5.52×
×6.16
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.3K
+$3.0K
$6.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.04
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL62.9%
+147.7 pp
-84.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.6 pp
99.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %40.2%
−5.2 pp
45.4%
Bot %53.5%
−5.6 pp
59.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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