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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

data as of 2026-04-15 04:08 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.2K−$22K$27K
Holders306+35271
Trades2.5K+2902.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.3%
−15.2 pp
58.5%
Avg ROI3.5%
+4.3 pp
-0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×11.88
+11.14×
×0.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.51
+8.76×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.3K
−$12.5K
$16.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.03
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.5%
−127.2 pp
35.7%
Underwater %99.3%
+98.8 pp
0.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %76.7%
+1.7 pp
75.0%
Bot %77.2%
+2.3 pp
75.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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