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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET

data as of 2026-05-20 14:52 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$15K+$8.9K$6.2K
Holders85−792
Trades1.3K−3631.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.6%
+2.2 pp
50.4%
Avg ROI-1.2%
−4.5 pp
3.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.76
−27.00×
×27.75
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.75
−28.83×
×29.58
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.2K
+$3.2K
$43
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.28
0.66
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL34.7%
+131.2 pp
-96.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.0 pp
99.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %65.8%
+0.3 pp
65.5%
Bot %75.7%
+1.5 pp
74.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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