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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

data as of 2026-07-05 01:39 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K+$4.9K$7.5K
Holders338−2340
Trades2.3K+692.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.3%
+0.4 pp
48.9%
Avg ROI0.2%
−0.3 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.68
−6.81×
×7.49
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.68
−5.95×
×6.63
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.6K
+$5.2K
$6.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.02
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL48.5%
+134.3 pp
-85.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−96.9 pp
96.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %32.6%
−2.7 pp
35.2%
Bot %48.6%
−0.2 pp
48.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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